Page 38 - Investment Advisor - November 2023
P. 38

reTIremeNT PLANNING








                 needing less savings to successfully retire,   there is a downside component to grap-  of solutions can do to move the efficient
                 or to enjoy a higher standard of living   ple with, but this in turn means you can   frontier for the whole portfolio.”
                 from a given asset base,” Wade posits.  get more of the upside over time.”  Put another way, when one adds these
                   Speaking with ThinkAdvisor about his                              types of structured annuity segments
                 latest project, Pfau emphasized that this   dUAL steP UP APProACH   that change the distribution of returns,
                 research is focused on asset accumulation   According  to  Pfau,  another  emerging   an investor can  dramatically  improve
                 during the run-up to retirement. Often,   investing approach that was “really   portfolio performance while also achiev-
                 when people hear the word  “annuity,”   intriguing” and that contributed sig-  ing higher risk-adjusted returns.
                 he explained, they tend to think more or   nificantly to the positive performance   “We found strong evidence that you
                 less exclusively about retirement income.  seen in the analysis is called the “dual   can build portfolios with a higher return
                   “It’s exciting because this research   step up,” which is a feature of some   expectation and less volatility relative to
                 project with Equitable is actually broken   structured products already available in   what  you  can  achieve  with  stocks  and
                 into two phases, and this first phase is   the marketplace.         bonds alone,” Pfau says.
                 not specifically talking about retirement   “The basic idea here is that you are
                 income,”  Pfau  notes.  “That  will  be  the   going to get credited with a fixed return   Bond (or stoCK) rePLACeMent?
                 second part of the project. This initial   whenever the index achieves a certain   According to Pfau, if explained clearly to
                 phase is about exploring the question of   degree of performance,” Pfau explains.   clients, this approach to investing can be
                 what having a structured                                                      very appealing, especially to
                 return on a portion of your   “We found strong evidence that                  those pre-retirees who feel
                 investments can allow you    you can build portfolios with a                  they have saved success-
                 to do with the overall asset                                                  fully and want to protect
                 allocation and your risk   higher return expectation and less                 what they have set aside,
                 and performance goals.”                                                       but  who  are  also  worried
                   According to Pfau, advi-  volatility relative to what you can               about their longevity risk.
                 sors  and their  clients  are   achieve with stocks and bonds alone.”         Using these solutions pro-
                 used to talking about bell                                                    vides meaningful downside
                 curve distributions of                    —Wade Pfau                          protection without sacrific-
                 stocks and bonds, and about                                                   ing too much upside.
                 setting limits on both the upside and the   “So, for example, consider a 15% segment   “In addition, there is another really
                 downside. Generally, advisors seek to   buffer. As long as the market was not   interesting dynamic in our findings,”
                 limit the downside while the client is   down more than negative 15% — even if   Pfau says. “I often talk about annuities
                 approaching retirement, at the expense   it was down 14% or up 50% — that inves-  as a bond replacement, and certainly you
                 of potential upside performance.  tor will be credited with an 8.5% return   see that, compared to bonds, these types
                   “Well, we are asking, what if you   for that year, and you’re only exposed to   of structured financial products can per-
                 change that approach in a more funda-  the loss beyond that negative 15%.”  form significantly better, especially when
                 mental  way,  for  example  by  bringing  a   In Pfau’s extensive Monte Carlo   you layer in the tax-deferral factor.”
                 registered index-linked annuity into the   performance simulations, a theoretical   But, Pfau says, it was also interesting
                 picture, one that features a buffer on the   near-retiree could expect to get that   to see that, if one looks to more conser-
                 downside performance,” Pfau explains.  8.5% return in something like 92% of the   vative investors, this approach can also
                   He gives the example of a structured   years projected, and the other 8% of the   be really appealing.
                 solution with a 10% downside buffer,   time they see only a small loss. Naturally,   “I  don’t  want  to  say  these  annuities
                 which can  be achieved  by purchasing   this is an attractive performance distri-  are good stock replacements for the
                 a RILA.                           bution for a near-retiree worried about   typical investor, but they can play an
                   “So, if you are holding this solution   market shocks.            interesting role if someone was only
                 and you see a market drop of 8% in that   “The big conclusion we can draw   going to have a really low stock alloca-
                 year, you’ll get a 0% return, and if you   here is that you can basically treat this   tion anyway,” Pfau said. “By allocating
                 see the market fall 12%, you’ll only suf-  structured, buffered approach as an   to bonds in the structured product, they
                 fer  a 2% drop,”  Pfau  said. “That’s the   asset class in an asset allocation model,”   can still dramatically improve the fron-
                 original  idea of what a RILA is.  It has   Pfau emphasizes. “That’s the punchline   tier of potential returns compared with,
                 the indexing component, which means   of the research, seeing what these types   in this case, a small stock allocation.”



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