Page 39 - Investment Advisor - November 2023
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some Good news About rMds in ‘23                                    faced the 50% penalty, very few people
                                                                                       In the past, Benz said, when retirees

                     t the start of the fourth quarter of   do IRA conversions in that period when   actually ended up paying it because it
                 A2023, millions of American retirees   your income tax rate may be at a low   was fairly easy to prove that they weren’t
                 are wondering how they will handle   ebb relative to what it will be once those   trying to skirt the distribution. “Now it
                 required minimum distributions from   RMDs come online,” she explained.  sounds like the penalty will potentially
                 tax-advantaged retirement accounts.   Another factor affecting retirees this   be a little harder to get out of, if you inad-
                 According to Morningstar’s Christine   year is that the penalties for missing   vertently miss the RMD,” she warned.
                 Benz, many are finding that their 2023   RMDs have gone down, again thanks to   As Benz explains, the bigger reason
                 RMDs are smaller than anticipated.   the Secure 2.0 Act. “The tax experts I’ve   that many people might see lower RMDs
                 This is due to a few interrelated fac-  talked to differ a little bit on this point,”   for 2023 is that the U.S. market didn’t
                 tors, Benz says, including poor market   Benz said. “So, it had been this 50% pen-  have such a great year in 2022: “We had
                 performance in 2022 and recent rule   alty on any amount that you should have   a pretty big drop in the stock market,
                 changes introduced in landmark legisla-  taken but didn’t take. That was, obvi-  both U.S. and non-U.S. stocks.”
                 tion known colloquially as the Secure   ously, a catastrophic penalty, and now   Plus, “bonds did not have a great year,
                 Act and the Secure 2.0 Act.       it’s going to [be] a 25% penalty.”  either. So, many investors had declining
                   Benz,  Morningstar’s  director  of  per-  A halving of this penalty will be a good   balances at the end of 2022 versus where
                 sonal finance and retirement planning,   thing for investors who find themselves   they were at in 2021. So, even though your
                 shares this insight in a recently published   running afoul of the rules and facing   RMDs nudge up a little bit as you age,
                 video interview posted on the firm’s web-  enforcement actions from the Internal   many people, my guess is, would probably
                 site. According to Benz, more RMD flex-  Revenue Service. And, if they are able to   see  lower RMDs as  they’re  calculating
                 ibility this year means that many retirees   prove that they didn’t miss the RMDs on   them in 2023, because they’re calculated
                 will be able to effectively minimize their   purpose, a retiree can potentially get the   on that year-end 2022 balance,” she adds.
                 tax obligations, and some early retirees   penalty reduced to 10%.    Benz encourages investors and advisors
                 will be able to forgo making RMDs entire-  “What I hear from people who focus   to take advantage of this moment in other
                 ly. As she explains, advisors can help older   on tax planning is that they think that   ways, too. “Prune your highly appreciated
                 clients by coordinating their RMDs with   the IRS may actually be a little bit more   securities,” she suggested. “Use those to
                 other sources of income, and they can   serious about actually levying this pen-  address your need to take an RMD. Take
                 help younger clients make moves that can   alty on people who do miss their RMDs,”   a good look at your portfolio and how
                 significantly lower their expected RMDs.  Benz warned. “So, as always, it’s a date   it’s situated in terms of your target asset
                   The Secure Act of 2019 increased the   that you don’t want to mess around   allocation. Use your RMD to get your
                 RMD age from 70.5 to 72 years, and the   with. You need to get that RMD out by   portfolio back into balance. It’s a little bit
                 Secure 2.0 Act subsequently increased   Dec. 31 of the tax year.”   of a freebie from a tax standpoint.”
                 the age again — to 73 — starting in 2023.
                 Under Secure 2.0, this age is to increase
                 once more in 2033. “It’s set to go all the   the ‘Fun’ new retirement Planning Metric
                 way out to 75 eventually, so people may
                 be able to push off that date at which   hile sustainable retirement-income   Specifically, Estrada is referring to
                 they  need to take those  distributions,”  Wplanning has always received both   the “incidence of failure” metric that
                 Benz said. “There are reasons that peo-  academic and industry-driven analysis,   dominates many advisors’ Monte Carlo-
                 ple really like to delay those RMDs.   a veritable groundswell of innovative   based income planning efforts. Although
                 One is that RMDs can push them into   research is being published on the sub-  the paper includes some in-depth analy-
                 a higher tax bracket, and that can cause   ject. One such example is a new paper   sis of the math and assumptions that
                 some other knock-on tax effects.”  published in the fall edition of the Journal   underpin this style of income planning,
                   As she points out, those adjustments   of Financial Planning by Javier Estrada, a   Estrada’s answer can be summed up
                 to the starting date offer potentially   financial advisor and professor of finance   with a simple “no.” He goes on to offer
                 powerful tax-planning moves between   at the IESE Business School in Barcelona,   his own key metric that he calls the
                 one’s retirement age, which could be in   Spain. The paper seeks to answer a seem-  “risk-adjusted coverage ratio.”
                 the late 50s or early 60s, and the RMD   ingly simple question: “In retirement   The recently published paper is  gen-
                 age. “That provides an opportunity to   planning, is one number enough?”  erating some buzz among U.S. financial



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