Page 16 - Investment Advisor January/February 2022
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ETF ADVISOR

                By Bernice Napach




                Expect Hundreds of ETF Launches in 2022,

                Mostly Active Funds


                This year is expected to be another record-setting year for flows and new funds.




                      his year is expected to be another                            can catch lightning in a bottle.”
                      boffo year for U.S. ETFs, with even                             He expects 400 to 500 new ETF
                Tmore launches and greater fund                                     launches in 2022.
                flows than 2021, a record-setting year.
                  Four hundred forty-five new ETFs                                  ONGOING ETF TRENDS
                launched in 2021 as of Dec. 20 compared                             Other expectations for the ETF uni-
                with 309 in 2020, and ETFs collected                                verse in 2022 involve the continuation
                about $800 million in net new fund                                  of ongoing trends:
                flows — more than two and a half times                                •  More launches of semi-transparent
                the flows into mutual funds,  according                                 ETFs, which don’t disclose their
                to Morningstar data.                                                    holdings on a daily basis, and thus
                  About 60% of the ETF launches were   “To launch and not to convert will   allow portfolio managers to avoid
                actively managed in the conventional   continue to be the preference of many   any front-running of their positions.
                sense, but if one includes all factor and   asset managers,” Johnson said.  •  More introductions of ESG-focused
                thematic ETFs, the percentage jumps to   In 2022, Capital Group, which has   ETFs.
                about 87%, said Ben Johnson, director   over $2 trillion in assets, will be doing   •  Continued growth of ETF model
                of global exchange-traded fund research   just that, introducing ETFs for the   portfolios.
                at Morningstar.                   first time, as will Neuberger Berman,   “Investors’ growing comfort with
                                                  both joining legacy firms like Putnam   ETFs in 2021 positions the industry for
                EXPECT MORE                       Investments and Dimensional Fund   continued success in 2022,” wrote Todd
                He  and  other  fund  analysts  expect  that   Advisors, which entered the ETF uni-  Rosenbluth, head of ETF and Mutual
                hundreds more ETFs will launch in 2022   verse within the last year or two.  Fund Research at CFRA. in his 2022 ETF
                and the majority will be active. “There is   The  Security  and  Exchange  outlook. “However, with more than 2,000
                no white space left in traditionally defined   Commission’s ETF Rule 6c-11, adopted in   products available and many competing
                passive products,” said Johnson. “We don’t   mid-2019, helped pave the way for ETF   with one another for investor attention,
                need another total return international   launches  from  established  mutual  fund   we expect asset managers to continue to
                developed market cap-weighted index   companies by eliminating the require-  focus on investor education to highlight
                ETF or another S&P 500 index ETF.”  ment that asset managers file for exemp-  what makes their ETF unique.”
                  What investors need instead are   tive relief every time they launch a new   What ETF analysts don’t expect to
                ETFs that suit today’s uncertain mar-  ETF and allowing all transparent ETFs to   see in 2022 is the introduction of a spot
                kets, according to Michael Loukas, CEO   make use of custom baskets.  Bitcoin ETF.
                of TrueMark Investments. “If efficient   But new ETFs are expected not only   “We  will see  some  clarification  on
                markets lend themselves to passive   from traditional asset managers like   crypto regulation, but not a Bitcoin
                strategies,  then  inefficient,  uncertain   Capital Group, but also from RIAs, said   ETF,”  said Nadig,  who expects  “some
                markets lend themselves to active ETFs.”  Dave Nadig, chief investment officer   sort of regulatory guidance or rule-mak-
                  Some of the new active ETFs could   and director of research at ETF Trends.   ing around stablecoins that could lead
                be ETF conversions, which happened   “RIAs can roll up their model portfolios   to a regulated product like a blockchain
                for the first time in 2021 when Atkinson   or other investments representing a spe-  ETF owning Treasurys as well as pos-
                Asset Management converted two    cific area of expertise into an ETF to cre-  sibly more Bitcoin futures ETFs.
                mutual funds to ETFs. Others will be   ate operational efficiency for themselves
                clones or close cousins of existing mutu-  and potentially new revenue streams,”   Senion writer Bernice Napach can be reached   Adobe Stock
                al funds or entirely new products.  he said. “There’s always the chance you   at [email protected].



             14 INVESTMENT ADVISOR JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2022 | ThinkAdvisor.com
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