Page 31 - Investment Advisor - December 2021
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probably have COLAs but [they] might be smaller than we   later become PayPal. That account now is worth more than $5
                would otherwise expect.”                           billion — with no tax bill awaiting Thiel upon withdrawal of the
                                                                   assets, as long as he waits until six months before his 60th birthday.
                                                                     In June, ProPublica, an investigative news outlet, reported
                The September release of the Social Security Trustees report —   this story in an article, “Lord of the Roths: How Tech Mogul
                long in coming as it is typically released in April — had potential   Peter Thiel Turned a Retirement Account for the Middle Class
                bad news: The projected date that the Old-Age and Survivors   Into a $5 Billion Tax-Free Piggy Bank.” The article sparked
                Insurance Trust Fund, which pays benefits to retirees, was to   debate over Thiel’s use of a Roth IRA as a massive tax shelter —
                be depleted by 2033, one year earlier than reported in 2020.  and how other investors and the government might respond.
                  The Disability Insurance Trust Fund will pay benefits until   Indeed, the expose ignited an array of actions from Congress,
                2057, eight years earlier than last year’s report. Once the funds   which has included an ongoing threat to the usage of the so-
                are depleted, the OASI should be able to pay 76% of scheduled   called mega backdoor Roth IRAs in various legislation.
                benefits, while the DI will pay 91% of scheduled benefits.  The retirement planning provisions that were approved in the
                  But this is better than some retirement experts feared at the   House Ways and Means Committee’s Build Back Better bill in
                height of the pandemic.                            mid-September were excluded from President Joe Biden’s Build
                  “The news from the new report was definitely less dire   Back Better framework, released on Oct. 29. However, the elimi-
                                          than many thought could be   nation of backdoor Roth IRA conversions made it back into the
                                          possible,”  Wade Pfau,  pro-  latest version of House Democrats’ tax and spending bill, which
                                          fessor of retirement income   was released on Nov. 3.
                                          at The American College    In mid-November, House lawmakers were drawing close to
                                          of Financial Services, told   a vote on Biden’s Build Back Better bill. But Greg Valliere, chief
                                          Investment Advisor. ”Last   U.S. policy strategist for AGF Investments, said that the “growing
                                          year’s report projected that   public anxiety over inflation will become an obstacle for propo-
                                          the combined OASDI funds   nents of more federal spending.”
                                          could be depleted by 2035.   Senate Finance Committee Chair Ron Wyden, D-Ore., said in
                                          During the pandemic, there   late July, however, that data released by the Joint Committee on
                was analysis circulated that this date could be moved to as early   Taxation showed “it’s long past time to crack down on mega-IRAs.”
                as 2029. In the end, it’s only one year sooner at 2034.”  The new JCT data provided an update to a 2014 Government
                  The depletion date isn’t written in stone. But Congress will   Accountability Office report requested by Wyden. The GAO
                have to take action.                               report, which used 2011
                  “[Last year] saw a reduction in payroll taxes collected, but also an   tax data, showed nearly
                increase in expected mortality among Social Security recipients,”   8,000 taxpayers had
                Michael Finke, professor and Frank M. Engle Chair of Economic   aggregate IRA balances of
                Security Research at The American College of Financial Services,   $5 million to $10 million.
                told Investment Advisor. “Neither had a big impact on solvency   A total of more than 9,000
                projections, since they largely canceled each other out, and you see   taxpayers had $5 million
                that the modest projected reduction in the actuarial balance is the   or more.
                result of using different and more accurate methodology.  “The new JCT data
                  “The bottom line is that we’ve known for years that either   show a threefold increase
                taxes collected will need to rise, benefits will need to be   in aggregate IRA balances of $5 million or more,” the law-
                reduced, or inflation adjustments will need to be more mod-  maker said.
                est. It’s more than likely that politicians will wait as long as   As of the 2019 tax year, nearly 25,000 taxpayers had aggre-
                possible before making the hard choices, but the alternative of   gate IRA balances of $5 million to $10 million. In total, more
                a 24% benefit cut is a political death sentence.”
                                                                   than 28,600 taxpayers had more than $5 million, including 497
              Thiel: Kiyoshi Ota/Bloomberg  Carson Group, said in a tweet: “I’m happy SS report was better   the JCT found. The average aggregate account balance for
                                                                   taxpayers with aggregate IRA balances of $25 million or more,
                  Jamie Hopkins, managing partner of wealth solutions at
                                                                   these 497 taxpayers was more than $150 million.
                than expected but I wonder if the full impact is still a year away.”
                                                                     “It is shocking, but not surprising, to see how the use of mega-
                                                                   IRA accounts by mega-millionaires and billionaires has exploded,”
                                                                   Wyden said at that time. “IRAs were designed to provide retire-
                In 1999, budding investor Peter Thiel used $1,700 in his new Roth
                IRA to buy startup shares of the firm he co-founded, which would
                                                                   ment security to middle-class families, not allow the super wealthy

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