Economist Jeremy Siegel expects the S&P 500 to have a “much quieter” 2025 than it saw over the past two bullish years, returning 0% to 10% — or 5% to 15% excluding the Magnificent 7 mega-cap tech stocks.
The index is up roughly 27.5% year to date.
The Magnificent 7 are starting to lag the market, the WisdomTree senior economist said Monday on CNBC’s Squawk Box. This suggests that a market rotation may get underway this month, he said.
“Maybe the Mag 7 will do nothing next year” and undervalued small- and mid-cap stocks “are finally going to have their day in the sun,” added Siegel, a Wharton School finance professor emeritus. “I think that that's perfect, and that’ll keep the bull going.”
The Magnificent 7, which comprises one-third of the S&P 500 valuation, “might be flattish” next year, Siegel said.
He suggested that it might be hard for the S&P 500 to gain another 5% this month, as some gains may have been pulled into November following Donald Trump’s presidential election win.
“We are at high valuations but not extraordinary,” Siegel said.
© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.
