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Portfolio > Economy & Markets > Economic Trends

Consumer Confidence Hits 6-Month High

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U.S. consumer confidence rose to a six-month high in August as more upbeat views of the economy and inflation offset waning optimism about the labor market.

The Conference Board’s gauge of sentiment increased to 103.3 from an upwardly revised 101.9 a month earlier, data out Tuesday showed. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for a reading of 100.7.

A measure of expectations for the next six months rose to a one-year high of 82.5 in August, while a gauge of present conditions edged up.

Prospects for long-awaited interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, likely beginning next month, may help to further bolster sentiment and keep consumers spending. At the same time, confidence remains well shy of pre-pandemic levels due to a higher cost of living and, more recently, moderating job growth.

“Consumers’ assessments of the current labor situation, while still positive, continued to weaken, and assessments of the labor market going forward were more pessimistic,” Dana Peterson, chief economist at the Conference Board, said in a statement. “This likely reflects the recent increase in unemployment. Consumers were also a bit less positive about future income.”

Some 32.8% of consumers said jobs were plentiful, the smallest share since March 2021 and the sixth straight decline. The share saying jobs were hard to get edged higher.

The difference between these two — a metric closely followed by economists to gauge the job market — also fell to a more than three-year low.

Image: Adobe Stock

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