Vanguard Watchers Baffled Over CEO's Retirement News

Analysis March 12, 2024 at 01:29 PM
Share & Print

Column headshot of Dinah Wisenberg Brin
This is the latest in a new series of columns about portfolio strategies, planning and asset management.

Vanguard CEO Tim Buckley's surprise decision to retire by year-end, with no successor named, has left industry watchers wondering what's next for one of the world's largest asset managers.

Vanguard critics and supporters alike point to real or perceived issues that the low-fee investment giant faces, including customer service complaints, evolving business priorities and, in the near term, the search for a new CEO.

At the same time, advocates laud Buckley's role in contributing to Vanguard's success as an investment powerhouse with more than 50 million customers globally and $9 trillion in assets under management.

The retirement announcement seemed to catch Vanguard watchers by surprise. Barry Ritholtz, Ritholtz Wealth Management founder, chairman and chief investment officer, noted in a post on X, formerly Twitter, that it was unexpected.

The news was a bit surprising because "Vanguard's just doing so well," Eric Balchunas, Bloomberg senior ETF analyst, said on Bloomberg TV following the announcement.

Buckley has spent 33 years at the low-fee asset manager, including more than six as CEO. In announcing his retirement plans late last month, Vanguard noted that under his tenure, the firm's global client base expanded by tens of millions and AUM grew by 80%.

Vanguard has launched a comprehensive CEO selection process in which it's looking at both internal and external candidates. When it revealed Buckley's plans, it also announced it had appointed Greg Davis, its chief investment officer, to an additional role as Vanguard president.

Buckley's Legacy

"Under Buckley, Vanguard has taken in almost $1 billion a day, $3.6 trillion in asset growth," Balchunas said on Bloomberg TV. "Their asset growth under him is more than like two or three entire asset managers have in assets." 

Balchunas, who wrote a book on Vanguard and founder John Bogle, "The Bogle Effect," also noted that the company has taken in over half of exchange-traded funds' net flows this year. Bogle was famously skeptical of ETFs, and every successor since, including Buckley, has pushed Vanguard further into ETFs, which "are clearly the vehicle of choice over the mutual fund."

Moreover, Balchunas noted, Buckley has built Vanguard's personal advisory service, which had nearly $300 billion in AUM at year-end 2023.

"This is Vanguard becoming a wealth manager," he said. "This is crucial because some of their clients are getting older, they need more help with their finances." 

Customer Service Woes

Nonetheless, customer service has become a concern for many customers as well as industry experts. Balchunas called it Vanguard's "one Achilles heel" and said Buckley's yet-unnamed successor will need to focus on it. Financial advisor Rick Ferri, who hosts the "Bogleheads on Investing" podcast, agreed that tending to customer service is key.

"The biggest challenge facing the next CEO is client service. The perception, right or wrong, is that client service slipped under Tim Buckley and that everything needs an update including the website," Ferri told ThinkAdvisor by email.

Jon Luskin, a fee-only, advice-only planner and John C. Bogle Center for Financial Literacy board member, suggested that it may not be easy to eliminate client service complaints — and that the issue isn't necessarily specific to Vanguard. 

"I can't say that I've had only amazing experiences with the other big custodians," Luskin said via email. "I'd be surprised, impressed, if Vanguard is able to improve that. Given the sheer size of their operation, they are going to have complaints."

Has Vanguard Lost Its Way?

Luskin, however, cited other complaints about the company that long-ago popularized low-cost index mutual funds and later pioneered and patented a structure that has allowed it to offer ETF share classes for mutual funds.

"There has been some criticism of Vanguard under Buckley, with the theme of Vanguard 'losing its way.' That involves Vanguard's foray into private equity and their addition of active funds to their Personal Advisor Service (PAS), for example," Luskin said.

"It'll be interesting to see what Vanguard's future leadership does in these areas outside of ultra-low-cost indexing: will they continue expanding into other product areas, or return to focusing on what made them so successful in the first place?"

Crypto Complaints

Cryptocurrency fans on social media suggested that Buckley's move resulted from Vanguard's decision not to offer the newly approved and popular spot bitcoin ETFs to its customers. Vanguard supporters, however, dismissed the idea.

"There is no connection," Balchunas said in his Bloomberg TV interview. "Yes, Tim Buckley was probably behind the decision not to let bitcoin ETFs trade on the platform, but you have to know most Vanguard investors want nothing to do with the bitcoin ETF anyway."

And Luskin, the financial planner, told ThinkAdvisor that Vanguard not offering a spot bitcoin ETF "shows they're staying true to the spirit of Bogle. Yet, that move certainly runs a bit counter to the recent theme of expanding into areas not ultra-low-cost funds."

What Now?

So what, or who, comes next at Vanguard?

Balchunas considers Davis, the president and CIO, a likely choice for the top post and also cited BlackRock veteran Salim Ramji, who left that company recently from posts heading iShares and index investments, as a potential successor.

Jeff DeMaso, founder and editor of The Independent Vanguard Adviser, wrote in the newsletter that he doesn't know the "real reason" why Buckley is resigning in his mid-50s, while noting his long tenure with the asset manager.

DeMaso, however, said he was "scratching his head" over Vanguard's decision to announce the move without simultaneously naming Buckley's successor.

"The end of the year is ten months off. Why not just wait three months, use the time to find Buckley's replacement, and then make a comprehensive announcement?" he asked.

"My best guess is that Vanguard wants to control the narrative and avoid risking rumors or leaks while evaluating 'both internal and external candidates.' But still, by only announcing Buckley's retirement, Vanguard has cast us into a world of uncertainty.

"We simply don't know who will lead our $8 trillion asset manager … next year," DeMasso wrote. "That's an unusual situation." 

NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.

Related Stories

Resource Center