The Senior Citizens League estimates the Social Security cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA, for 2025 is likely to be 2.4%, based on the latest consumer price index data, released Tuesday.
The 2024 cost-of-living adjustment for Social Security beneficiaries was 3.2%.
The February Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) rose 3.1% from 13 months ago. That's higher than the inflation trends indicated last month based on January's inflation data, according to the advocacy group. As a result, the League's 2025 COLA projection has jumped from 1.75%.
In the league's 2024 Senior Survey, 73% of respondents said their household costs rose by more than 3.2% in 2023; plus, 38% are worried that their 2024 COLA will fall short of inflation this year.
The group cautions that the final COLA for 2025 is "likely to be different from the estimates because the COLA is calculated on the average rate of inflation during the third quarter … which is compared against the third quarter a year ago."