Life Insurers' Real Estate Assets Look Good

News March 07, 2024 at 03:27 PM
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Owners of empty office buildings could eventually fail, stop making payments and add drama to big U.S. life and annuity issuers' quarterly financial reports. At this point, though, there's not much real estate-related drama.

Weakness in the commercial real estate sector is "a big risk across the financial markets," Anika Getubig, an S&P director, said Wednesday during an S&P Global Ratings update on the fourth quarter of 2023.

Life and annuity issuers look as if they're managing that risk well, she said.

At Morgan Stanley, a team of analysts led by Bob Jian Huang came to the same conclusion in their latest quarterly life and annuity sector review.

"CRE exposure within life insurers investments have held up better than expected throughout the year," the analysts wrote in their assessment of the fourth quarter.

What it means: The issuers backing clients' life insurance policies and annuity contracts continue to perform well.

The backdrop: Life insurers have invested about 10% of their $5 trillion in assets in commercial mortgages, with some of those assets in office building mortgages and securities backed by them.

Because of factors such as higher interest rates, owners' need to refinance expiring mortgage arrangements and employers' difficulties with getting workers to return to the office, prices for office buildings in some markets have fallen as much as 40%.

Analysts' new views: Life and annuity sectors analysts have been saying all along that they thought the companies' careful approach to investing in real estate would protect them from the worst effects of the slump, and they now seem to be more confident about insurers' real estate portfolios.

"Insurers typically hold predominately higher rated assets, as riskier assets come with larger capital charges," the Morgan Stanley analysts said, referring to the formulas that state insurance regulators use to assess insurers' strength. "As a result, loss experienced has been manageable thus far."

Getubig noted that the life and annuity sector continues to be one of the strongest S&P tracks, with 93% of issuers having an AA or A rating and 95% of the ratings having a stable or positive outlook.

Clouds to watch: Getubig said the list of concerns on S&P's radar includes the possibility of unpleasant commercial real estate surprises; the possibility that owners of life and annuity products paying low rates could suddenly rush to pull cash out of the products; and geopolitical risk.

Credit: Allison Bell/ALM

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