Spot Bitcoin ETFs Are on a Rough Trail. Life and Annuities Were There

Analysis January 29, 2024 at 02:24 PM
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The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission startled cryptocurrency skeptics earlier in January when it grudgingly agreed to approve 11 spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund applications.

Skeptics, including SEC Chair Gary Gensler, who said he felt forced to vote for approval because of the effects of federal court rulings, suggested that spot bitcoin ETFs may suffer from manipulation and volatility.

Whether the skeptics prove to be right, one important point is that many types of financial services products take time to gel. Modern life insurance policies are no exception.

Traditional monetary systems have been rising and falling since the Romans learned to add copper to make the gold in their gold coins go farther.

Early investment markets were prone to overheated, poorly regulated speculation. A frenzy involving stock and notes tied to real estate in the Mississippi River valley crashed the market in France in 1720, before Europeans barely had time to explore much of the valley.

The life insurance and annuity markets have gone through similar boom-and-bust cycles.

In one early wave, medieval monasteries tried to sell "corrodies," or arrangements that combined cash annuity benefits with old-age housing benefits, and ran into problems with customers who had paid too little filling their beds and guzzling their wine.

In 1777, because of problems with bubbles and fraud involving a second wave of annuity issuers, England's parliament began to require that all lifetime income annuities be registered with the Court of Chancery.

In the United States, in a third wave, many life insurers began to start up and take root in the 1840s. Some prepared for claims by setting aside cash reserves. Others counted on being able to "impose assessments," or bill the policyholders, to pay claims.

Many of the assessment-based companies failed around the time of the financial panic of 1873. The current state-based U.S. insurance regulatory system emerged from the ruins of the panic.

Regulators set about requiring new insurers to emulate companies like New York Life and MassMutual that had survived the die-off by setting aside reserves. Let's call this the fourth wave.

Maybe the current system, including the accounting changes implemented since the Great Recession, could count as Version 4.1.

The result: Few U.S. life insurers in business in 1900 became insolvent over the next century, in spite of two world wars, the great flu pandemic of 1918, the Great Depression, the Great Recession and COVID-19]. Although many were hurriedly wed to other bigger, more stable insurers, not that many simply collapsed.

But, before the 1870s, many life insurance policies may have been about as speculative as the typical crypto investment is today.

Allison Bell. Credit: Chris Nicholls/ALM

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