Half of Americans expect the Social Security system to pay them a benefit when they retire, while 47% do not, according to a recent Gallup poll.
Gallup noted that respondents were more upbeat than those in three surveys conducted between 2005 and 2015, when nonretirees were more likely to predict that they would not receive benefits.
Moreover, 53% of current U.S. retirees said they will continue to receive their full Social Security benefits, up from 37% in 2010 and 49% in 2015. Forty-three percent of retirees currently expect their benefits eventually to be cut.
Greater optimism about the future of Social Security comes at a time when Americans' satisfaction with the Social Security system has also been higher.
Gallup conducted polling in June and July among more than 1,300 nonretirees and some 600 retirees.
Counting on Benefits
The new poll found that expectations for receiving Social Security benefits vary by age among nonretirees, with 66% of those 50 and older expecting to get benefits.
Only 37% of nonretirees between 30 and 49 believe they will get Social Security benefits, while 61% do not. The youngest adults, those aged 18 to 29, are divided: 50% think they will get benefits, and 48% do not.
Compared with 2015 polling results, older and middle-aged nonretirees' expectations about receiving benefits are not meaningfully different now, according to Gallup. However, half the youngest age group predicted that they will receive benefits, up from 34% in 2015 — the most optimistic this cohort has been at any point since 2000, Gallup said.
Politics Modestly Related to Expectations
Sixty percent of Democratic nonretirees in the survey said they expect to receive Social Security benefits when they retire, compared with 50% of Republican and 45% of independent nonretirees.