The State of the Annuity Industry Through a Big-Screen Lens

Commentary November 03, 2023 at 04:03 PM
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I'm a movie buff.

During the recent Writers Guild strike, I revisited classic movies to fill the gap and was inspired by the American Film Institute's 100 Greatest Movie Quotes of All Time.

Here's the story of the annuity industry in seven scenes, each introduced by a famous line from a movie.

Grab a bowl of popcorn, take a seat and enjoy the show.

1. "The stuff that dreams are made of."

"The Maltese Falcon" (1941)

Current demographics are the annuity industry's dream.

The baby boomer generation is aging, and we'll soon experience Peak 65, when more Americans turn the traditional retirement age of 65 than any time in history.

The audience for annuity products and services is at an all-time high.

The rebound in interest rates is another factor.

Industry think tank LIMRA forecasts that annuity sales will surpass $300 billion once again in 2023, with continued growth for the next four to five years.

It doesn't take Sam Spade to detect that things are very promising.

2. "Fasten your seatbelts. It's going to be a bumpy night."

"All About Eve" (1950)

Despite the promising forecast, the industry can't rest on its laurels.

Carriers and distributors must be prepared to face obstacles like market volatility, potential commercial real estate foreclosures and the aging agent population.

The rise in interest rates that's fueling the multiyear guaranteed annuities momentum and the significant improvement in fixed index annuity terms also means a resurgence in safe money alternatives, like certificates of deposit and money market accounts.

As the competitive advantage of annuity rates narrows or disappears, some insurance sales professionals will have to learn or refresh their presentation and comparison techniques.

3. "They're here!"

"Poltergeist" (1982)

Private equity is the specter in our industry — on both the carrier and distribution side.

While some dread private equity, its foothold has been a source of product innovation and technological advancement. And it's prompting the industry to up its game.

Does it matter to policyholders if their carrier is owned by private equity? Perhaps not.

The rules and regulations on carrier conduct are universal regardless of ownership type.

But to some, the "ghost in the machine" is private equity's commitment to the long-term nature of the insurance business.

This is in contrast to the more common demand for short-term results.

The bigger issue is the impact of private equity on distribution.

Mergers and consolidations are rampant, and that impacts product development, acquisition costs and agent access.

All carriers — private equity-controlled or not — will have to carefully consider the rules of engagement here.

4. "Toto, I've a feeling we're not in Kansas anymore."

"The Wizard of Oz" (1939)

The insurance industry used to be known for its geographical epicenters.

Hartford, Connecticut, and Des Moines, Iowa, come to mind.

That's changed.

Product design and innovation is as likely to come from Silicon Valley as Kansas, Iowa or Connecticut.

Distribution is remarkably decentralized at both the retail and wholesale level.

And video conferencing, along with sales and annuity order entry, makes remote sales easier than ever.

5. "I feel the need — the need for speed!"

"Top Gun" (1986)

And the competitive advantage goes to … carriers that address speed to issue and disbursement.

Why? Because much of the annuities industry still uses legacy technology for service and support.

While there's a veneer of tech advancement in some places, it's an overlay for what amounts to a manual process.

I can Venmo my son grocery money in a matter of seconds.

Getting a withdrawal from an annuity is another thing.

Will artificial intelligence pave the way for advancements here?

6. "If you build it, he (they) will come."

"Field of Dreams" (1989)

The annuity business continues to evolve and advance.

New entrants to the marketplace have led with improvements and variations on traditional multiyear guaranteed annuities, as well as fixed indexed annuity design.

These changes have been well documented.

Here's one underdeveloped product type: long-term care benefits within an annuity wrapper.

Nearly 70% of people 65 and older will need some type of extended care, according to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.

But only a handful of carriers offer annuities with long-term care benefits.

The demand will be high and the supply may be limited, so look for more entrants in this market segment.

A catalyst may be states that require residents to pay a tax to finance long-term care benefits.

Washington state was first. Who will follow?

7. "I see dead people."

"The Sixth Sense" (1999)

The great generational wealth transfer is in full swing.

Over the next several years, trillions of dollars will pass from the baby boomer generation to the next generations.

Roth conversions are one way to pass on wealth — by paying taxes on the conversion rather than on the generational transfer.

That trend will continue.

Annuity products must keep pace, and death benefit riders for fixed index annuities can help meet a need.

We think of an annuity as a "live-on" benefit.

An annuity with a death benefit rider is for those who want to start viewing their "live-on" assets as "leave-on" assets.

Although rider benefits are taxable, the certainty and inevitability of mortality will increase the demand for this type of benefit.

Look for more carriers to join this segment of the market soon.

That's a wrap on this preview, but I'll end with a bonus quote:

"My mother thanks you. My father thanks you. My sister thanks you. And I thank you."

"Yankee Doodle Dandy" (1942)


Paul GarofoliPaul Garofoli, FLMI, is a regional sales director of individual annuities at The Standard.

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