A market timer predicts the direction stocks will take, then makes trades accordingly. In contrast, an "over-rebalancer" makes trades as a response to market movement.
In a stock market decline, personal finance expert Jonathan Clements, founder and editor of HumbleDollar.com, embraces the latter approach, as he tells ThinkAdvisor in an interview.
"For most people who have a high risk tolerance, which I do, there's an opportunity in over-rebalancing," argues Clements, who for nearly two decades was The Wall Street Journal's personal finance columnist.
For his ninth book, "My Money Journey: How 30 People Found Financial Freedom — And You Can Too" (Harriman House, April 2023), he presents a collection of revealing essays written by 29 other people — many in financial services — about their personal money stories.
Plus, Clements has written a chapter on his own financial path through the years.
The 29 contributors — all of whom have written for HumbleDollar — include Charles Ellis, author of "Winning the Loser's Game," and William Bernstein, the former neurologist who wrote "The Four Pillars of Investing."
"My Money Journey" is a peek at the financial choices these individuals have made — both early missteps and ultimate triumphs.
In the interview, Clements discusses the revelations of five contributors, as well as details of his own investing approach.
Among the areas he explores are the fruits of frugality, the big benefit of being a super-saver and various asset-bucketing strategies.
Born in London, Clements, 60, founded the website HumbleDollar.com, which last year scored 4.7 million page views, in 2016. It's packed with articles on a full range of financial topics and news.
He started the site, which focuses largely on retirement issues, after his long stint writing for The Wall Street Journal and six years (2008-2014) as director of financial education for Citi Personal Wealth Management at Citigroup.
Clements himself is a perfect example of someone who has achieved financial freedom while continuing to work just as hard as he did before he "semi-retired," he says.
ThinkAdvisor recently interviewed the writer and editor by phone.
Speaking from his Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, base, he reveals his own retirement investing plan:
"Five years of spending money in higher-quality short-term bonds and the vast majority of … remaining money in the stock market."
Here are excerpts from our conversation:
THINKADVISOR: What's your definition of financial freedom?
JONATHAN CLEMENTS: The ability to control and spend your day doing what you want without worrying about money is at the core of financial freedom.
If you're constantly going to crave more [money], you're never going to be financially free.
Do you need to be retired to reach financial freedom?
No. If you're spending your day at a job that you love, you may have a degree of financial freedom. And money isn't an issue because you're earning a paycheck.
Do you consider yourself retired?
I [call myself] semi-retired. I'm 60, and I could retire completely if I wanted to. My financial situation now is very good. I just happen to be working as hard as I ever have because I love what I do.
We have this conception of retirement: [Flip] a switch and go from working long hours every day to not working at all. In what world does that make sense?
In the chapter about your own financial journey, you write that you weren't a market timer but "just responding to market movement." Please elaborate on the difference.
If you're a market timer, you may forecast the direction of the stock market and then act on it.
For example, you predict that stocks are going to tank, and you therefore move into cash to avoid the market crash you expect.
By contrast, what I engage in is over-rebalancing. When the stock market goes down, my financial advice is to rebalance back to your target percentages.
But what I do when the market declines is, if my goal is to have 80% of my money in stocks, I might take that up to 85%.
I'm not basing that on my forecast of what the market will do. I'm basing it on what the market has done; in this instance, fallen sharply.
What's the big advantage to over-rebalancing?
For most people who have a high risk tolerance, which I do, there's an opportunity in over-rebalancing.
Financial markets have never gone down and then failed to recover. I trust in that history.
Suppose we had a situation where the global financial markets didn't [recover] — an economic apocalypse. At that point, it wouldn't matter what you own.
Being in bonds isn't going to do you any good. The only thing that will do you any good is a basement that's well stocked with canned goods and bottles of wine, I would imagine.
Jiab Wasserman spent most of her career in financial services and rose to vice president of credit risk management at Bank of America. She took advantage of investing opportunity during the 2008-09 financial crisis — and she and her husband retired at ages 53 and 57, respectively, she writes.
How was she able to retire so young?