Waning Inflation May Lead to Market Rally: Invesco Director

News February 10, 2023 at 02:58 PM
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Moderating inflation and its likely effect on the bond market bode well for U.S. stocks, Ben Gutteridge, director of Invesco's Model Portfolio Service, suggested Friday.

The current U.S. stock market valuation is "quite well supported here on the back of what's happening on the long end of the bond market," he said on CNBC's Squawk Box Europe.

"The inflationary challenges do seem to be receding," Gutteridge said. "It could be tempered by some hawkish commentary here and there from central banks, from the Federal Reserve, but ultimately I think the inflationary challenges are moderating, and actually are growth challenges as well, and that should allow bond yields to be capped in and around where they are, could even drift a little lower from here, and that would be good news and supports the U.S. stock market valuation."

Equities valuations are closely pinned to what's happening in the bond market, although "there's nothing dramatically cheap in the valuation story," Gutteridge said.

"A dramatic move lower in valuations we can't quite square if bond yields are going to move lower as well. But that's not the sole reason we like U.S. equities, but it's one of the underpinning supports."

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