Social Security is a significant income stream for millions of retired Americans, so financial advisors must be able to calculate precisely how much clients will receive in monthly benefits once they turn 62.
The primary insurance amount (PIA) will increase yearly by the annual cost-of-living adjustment (COLA), which keeps Social Security payments in line with inflation. COLAs are applied to the PIA each year beginning at age 62, even if an individual does not elect at that time. You can help clients understand how much they can expect to receive once the cost-of-living adjustments are applied to Social Security benefits.
High inflation over the past several months has led to the most significant cost-of-living increase since the 1980s. In 2023, Social Security benefits will increase by 8.7%.
How Are COLAs Calculated?
Annual COLAs are determined by the change in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI–W), which the Bureau of Labor Statistics calculates. The average of the current year's third quarter is divided by the average of the third quarter for the prior year and rounded to the nearest tenth of a percent to determine the figure.
The Social Security Administration annually publishes the cost-of-living adjustments in a Fact Sheet, which includes the rate for the new year and other relevant information about the Social Security program. The COLA is typically announced in October. In December, beneficiaries receive a COLA notice from the Social Security Administration that explains their new benefit. The first check in January of the new year will include the new amount.
Social Security Taxation
The increase in Social Security benefits could affect how much your clients pay in taxes. Social Security benefits can become taxable when the beneficiary's "provisional income" exceeds specific thresholds established by the IRS. After the application of the formula, clients can end up paying taxes on up to 85% of their benefits at ordinary income tax rates.
The provisional income formula can be tricky. Provisional income includes half of their Social Security benefits (which will be more in 2023 due to the significant cost-of-living-adjustment), plus all other taxable income, such as dividends, realized interest, and realized capital gains. It also includes nontaxable interest earnings, like those from municipal bonds. The thresholds for taxable benefits are applied to the provisional income number, rather than the total.