About That 5-Year Gender Longevity Gap …

Expert Opinion September 30, 2022 at 04:41 PM
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A recent report from BlackRock highlights the five-year difference in lifespan between men and women. While the gap between men and women sounds dramatic, advisors should be aware that the gap is much smaller for their retirement-age clients. A narrower gender gap has important planning implications.

The gender life expectancy gap can be as high as five years at birth, but young men are far more likely to die in accidents and have higher rates of mortality from tobacco and alcohol use. Men who survive to age 65 have a life expectancy that is only about 2.5 years shorter than 65-year-old women.

Even a 2.5-year gender longevity gap is too high for financial planning clients. Men in the top 5th percentile of lifetime income have a gap that is only 1.5 years compared to high-income women. The gender gap still exists, but is only a third as large as the gap at birth for all Americans.

Minding the Gap

The gender life expectancy gap has varied over time. According to the Social Security Administration's 2019 OASDI Trustees Report, which includes past (1940 to 2019) and projected (2019 to 2095) life expectancies, the gap between men and women at birth was less than five years in 1940, but rose as high as eight years during the "Mad Men" era of the 1960s and 1970s, mainly because of higher smoking rates among men. The gap at birth has fallen to about five years and is projected to decline to below four years by 2060.

The Gender Life Expectancy Gap at Birth and Age 65

The life expectancy gap at age 65 is far smaller than 2.5 years for all Americans. While the era of men behaving badly pushed the gap at age 65 up to 4 years in the 1970s, men have made significant gains in retirement longevity in recent decades.

The biggest recent gains in longevity have occurred among higher-income men. Today, higher-income men smoke less, exercise more, eat better and have access to higher-quality health care than lower-income men.

The startling improvement in longevity among higher-income individuals relative to average Americans has been documented by Harvard University's Health Inequality Project. Using data collected through the project, the gender gap is indeed 4.5 years for the lowest-income Americans but falls with income to about 1.5 years for the highest-income Americans.

In other words, higher-income men live almost as long as higher-income women.

The Gender Life Expectancy Gap at Age 65 by Household Income Percentile

The longevity gap between men and women is much less significant within higher-income households than it is for average and lower-income Americans. This narrow gap for most financial planning clients has a number of important implications.

First, higher-income families will need to save more to fund a longer joint lifespan in retirement. The improved health-related behaviors of higher-income men is good news but also makes retirement more expensive.

Second, higher-income men will receive a greater benefit from delaying Social Security benefits. We have estimated that longer lifespans of higher-income men can increase the present value of delayed claiming by tens or even hundreds of thousands of dollars versus the average American male.

Third, more higher-income men will outlive their spouses and face issues related to widowhood that historically were more often faced by women.

Conclusion

Women live longer than men. However, care must be taken when discussing the gender life expectancy gap. While it's true that the gender life expectancy gap at birth is five years, the gap narrows by retirement age, and higher-income men have narrowed the gap to just 1.5 years. Advisors should focus on life expectancies at retirement age for higher individuals when selecting an appropriate planning horizon.

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