Though the Consumer Price Index's 8.3% increase in April is a slight reprieve from its 8.5% rise in March, inflation is still weighing heavily on Americans' minds and wallets. When the inflation rate rises, clients may be worried about the increasing price of everything from food to electricity. And many watchers of the Federal Reserve will be looking closely to see how monetary policy changes as a result.
Even the most optimistic financial advisors may want to assess whether their clients' portfolios are sufficiently protected and if there are ways to beat inflation with investment strategy.
Inflation may affect a client's portfolio in several ways, most notably by eroding the value of cash and weighing on fixed income securities. As interest rates rise, fixed income investments will traditionally suffer because their price is inversely correlated to interest rates. As interest rates rise, bond prices fall.
Inflation-Aware Investing
As a financial advisor, you're responsible for managing your clients' long-term outlook. Whether the current inflation rate is transitory or more entrenched, fear should not overpower solid financial planning. For example, it likely wouldn't make sense to change a client's asset allocation drastically to account for inflation, only to find that the asset mix is no longer appropriate for their time horizon and risk tolerance.
Inflation-aware investing is one tool to help you preserve value and help your clients maintain their buying power. That said, no strategy is a guarantee, and macroeconomic events maintain the ability to surprise even the most seasoned analysts. Investment strategies for inflation should be layered on top of goals-based strategies, giving care to your client's risk tolerance and whether inflation-busting strategies will divert from their long-term goals.
Short-Term vs. Long-Term Effects
Although fixed income is the most notorious asset class for inflation sensitivity, longer-term debt is more sensitive to inflation than shorter-term debt. That's because inflationary effects will compound over a longer time period. By contrast, high-yield bonds with shorter durations may fare better.