Global fund managers polled by Bank of America Global Research in May remained in a bearish mood, with just 10% expecting a V-shaped recovery from the coronavirus shock and 25% a new bull market.
In contrast, 75% of investors said they expected a U- or W-shaped recovery, and 68% a bear market rally.
The survey was conducted May 7 to 14 among 223 panelists with $651 billion in assets under management.
Fund managers' cash levels remained high at 5.7%, down slightly from 5.9% in April, which itself was the highest level since the 9/11 attacks.
According to the fund manager cash rule, when average cash balance rises above 4.5%, a contrarian buy signal is generated for equities. When the cash balance falls below 3.5%, a contrarian sell signal is generated.
Investors' cash allocation fell 10 percentage points month over month to net 44% overweight.
May survey participants said the biggest tail was a second wave of COVID-19, cited by 52%. Other concerns trailed: permanently high unemployment, 15%; European Union breakup, 11%; and systematic credit event, 8% — way down from 30% in April.
Investors' global growth expectations shot up by 40 points in May to net 38% expecting global growth to strengthen over the next 12 months, the highest level since January 2018, according to BofA.