Where's the Next ETF Boom?

August 31, 2015 at 08:00 PM
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As financial advisors try to strengthen their existing client relationships and build new ones, it's crucial they construct investment portfolios that help customers to reach their financial goals, regardless of whether market conditions are favorable or unfavorable. To that end, ETFs are versatile investment tools that can help.

Market exposure to a wide array of asset classes at an affordable price is the essence of ETF investing. Clearly, both advisors and the investing public are making ETFs a larger portion of their investment portfolios. This even includes funds that invest beyond stocks and bonds touching other major asset classes like commodities, real estate, and currencies.

According to ETFGI, record levels of net new assets (NNA) have also been gathered by U.S. listed ETFs/ETPs, which have gathered $125 billion during the first seven months of 2015, beating the previous record of $116 billion gathered in the first seven months of 2013.

But where will the next boom in ETFs be? Will it be from actively managed funds, 401(k) retirement plans, or alternative asset classes like Bitcoin?

Research magazine spoke with Christian Magoon, CEO OF YieldShares and Amplify Investments, about current and upcoming developments in the fast moving ETF marketplace.

Factor-based investing in the ETF market has gained steam. What do advisors need to know about this trend?

Factor-based investing in the ETF market is here to stay and will continue to expand into new market segments. It is a material driver of ETF asset growth. While there will continue to be a market for single factor based indexes and ETFs (i.e. market cap weighted), the growing preference for multi-factor based indexes by investors and ETF issuers is clear.

You launched the YieldShares High Income ETF (YYY) in June 2013. How has the fund performed?

YYY is an index based ETF that owns a basket of equity and debt closed-ends funds (CEFs) trading at discounts to net asset value. The fund's benchmark is the ISE High Income Index, which is comprised of 30 CEFs ranked highest overall in three criteria: discount to net asset value, distribution size and liquidity. YYY has a 30-Day SEC Yield of 9.3% while its average CEF is trading at a discount to NAV of more than 11%. The fund has approximately $95 million of assets under management.

The introduction of commission free ETF trading has been one of the biggest developments over the past few years. How much of an impact has it had on asset flows?

Commission free ETF trading has accelerated the adoption of ETFs by the retail investor. After elimination of the transaction cost to buy and sell certain ETFs, investors are even more likely to consider an ETF versus a mutual fund or individual security. Still the universe of commission free ETFs remains fairly limited and could use further expansion.

Stock market volatility has fallen almost 50% over the past five-years while the S&P 500 has shot ahead by over 110%. Do you think subdued volatility has lulled the investing public into a false comfort zone?

It's likely that the last five years have led active investors to become a bit complacent. With that being said however, a significant portion of retail investors were so emotionally scarred by 2008′s financial crisis that they had little to no participation in the stock market rally. In that sense, I see a bifurcated group of retail investors dealing with separate issues related to fear and greed.

Leveraged and inverse ETFs are frequently demonized. Do you think these products are really that bad or perhaps just misunderstood?

The performance of leveraged and inverse ETFs is not always intuitive to the average investor. This is an issue of not fully understanding the structure of the product but it is not a flaw in in the products themselves. For that reason, I believe only the most sophisticated investors should consider a leveraged or inverse ETF.

Actively managed ETFs have gathered around $20 billion, which is still a small slice of the total ETF assets. Is this the next boom waiting to happen?

Active ETFs remain a solid growth prospect for the ETF industry. The ETF wrapper has the potential to increase the efficiency of executing an actively managed strategy while broadening that strategy's distribution channels through exchange listing. These factors alone make me bullish on the future of active ETFs.

ETFs have not made been able to make significant inroads inside retirement plans like the 401(k) market. Do you foresee a future change?

The pressure for ETFs in 401(k)s is growing. Increased scrutiny on 401(k) investment options should ultimately bode well for low cost and transparent ETFs.

Is the traditional model of delivering investment advice by a human advisor officially dead? (Robos are allegedly taking over.)

Investment advice is much more than algorithms and a smooth user interface; it involves the management of complex and often counterintuitive emotions and actions. Thus while I believe robo-advisors will serve a significant population of investors, they won't be able to offer the value inherent in a professional human advisor. My expectation is that automated advice will become a platform that is often used in partnership with, or as a bridge to, human advice.

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