Model Portfolios: Watching Inflows and Outflows

Commentary August 31, 2015 at 05:26 AM
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In last week's blog posting we discussed using model portfolios to minimize the damage to a portfolio during a stock market decline—which we had for a number of days this month before an apparent recovery. In that post, How to Minimize the Damage From the Current Sell-Off, I suggested some strategies to consider with model-based asset management. This week, we'll continue with another consideration and discuss a new idea I had which may be of help to every advisor. 

Portfolio Inflows and Outflows

Using model portfolios is a great way to manage accounts. As we discussed last week, there are a few issues to consider about using models, including the need to rebalance to the model and any transaction fees that may occur when rebalancing. An additional issue involves clients who withdraw or add money to the account.

Inflows and outflows affect the account's allocation, which creates an imbalance with the model. If you're using no-transaction fee funds (NTF), you could take the withdrawal from multiple funds without a transaction charge (in most cases). Conversely, when a client makes a deposit, you could invest a percentage of the deposit into each fund (assuming again there are no charges). But even before you assign an account to a specific model, there's another idea which would help determine if a deeper analysis were needed. 

A Much Needed 'Overview' Report

When a practice is small it's easy to manage each account individually. However, as your business grows, you must find a way to manage accounts with greater efficiency. This has been the reason for the discussion on model-based portfolio management. Here's an idea for every custodian to consider. 

What if you wanted to know the allocation on every account you manage? How would you accomplish this? In an ideal situation, you would log in to your custodian's platform and view the allocation of all accounts in one report. There would be multiple columns including the account name, account number, account type, and the client's risk profile (i.e. conservative, moderate, aggressive, etc.) as defined by the client and advisor.

In addition, there would be columns showing the percentage of the account invested in stocks, bonds, cash, alternatives, and other. While these five categories won't tell you everything you need to know, they will tell you if more analysis is warranted.

Let's say you have 100, 200, or more accounts, some of which are conservative, some moderate, and some aggressive. If you had access to such a report, then a quick glance would indicate if the stock percentage was in line with their risk profile. For instance, if a conservative account had a 65% allocation to stocks, it would not be considered conservative. Conversely, if an aggressive account had only 20% in stocks, this would not be considered aggressive. How would a custodian create such a report?

Stocks, in this case, would include stock mutual funds, ETFs, and individual securities. Bonds would include bond mutual funds, ETFs, and individual bonds. Alternative investments could be determined by the advisor (ideally) or by the custodian. And other would be funds with a mix of stocks and bonds that don't fit neatly into the other categories.

I would also do this at the fund level rather than at the holding level. In other words, I would use Morningstar's categories and if the fund is a large-cap stock fund, then the amount invested in it would be included in the stock category. I've built a spreadsheet to accomplish this, but it's a bit labor intensive at this point. I may have found a way to semi-automate it by converting an XML file into an Excel file. I'll keep you posted.

Until next time, thanks for reading and have a great week!

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