Have we learned our lesson yet?

Commentary June 30, 2015 at 09:37 AM
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This is being written just days before the Supreme Court issues its ruling on King v. Burwell. It would have been more fun to wait until the ruling came down before penning this column, but such are deadlines. I suspect that no matter which way it goes, the hyperbole, second-guessing and Monday morning quarterbacking will be full throttle for a while. Of course, we will weigh in next time.

While waiting for SCOTUS, I have spent some time thinking about the continuum that brought us to this point. Were parts of the pre-PPACA system in need of repair or reinvention? Of course they were. Any right (or left) thinking person understands that the lack of transparency coupled with a system where physicians were paid piecework would inevitably lead to disastrous results. In- and out-of-network pricing, negotiated rates, phantom discounts and the like created a pricing scheme that was closer to Bernie Madoff's playbook than to anything remotely pro-consumer.

Yet, PPACA didn't do much, if anything, to fix those very real problems. Instead, there were the usual red herrings about pre-existing conditions. The vast majority of pre-ex issues for the 80-plus percent of insureds who had coverage through their employer had already been dealt with by HIPAA. Stories in the highly partisan press and State of the Union guest victims were based on thinly veiled and even more thinly sourced stories. We were beset by post hoc arguments that looked like red meat but tasted more like baloney.

We have learned that most politicians will tell you nearly anything if they think it will advance their agenda. To wit, the PolitiFact 2013 Lie of the Year: The promise that if you liked your (pre-PPACA) health plan, you could keep your health plan. We have learned that the word "accountable" in the name of The Act was more a term of art than a reality.

Accountable Care Organizations (there's that word again) were supposed to encourage and reward best practices. According to a study by the American Council for Law and Justice, more than a third of the initial ACO project participants bailed out when they didn't realize any savings — just more government-induced complexity.

We have learned that the federal government can spend nearly a billion dollars on a website that even today doesn't have the back-end controls that maintain accountability. We have also learned that PPACA proponents either completely ignored the value professional, licensed, regulated and educated advisors provide to our fellow citizens, or they were nervous about benefit advisors' client relationships and their ability to point out the deficiencies and ultimate insanity of the Frankenstein-like "market" the government "created."

We also learned that the number of newly insured due to PPACA is at best murky and at worst a product more of art than of science. In contrast to the oft-quoted RAND study that surveyed 1,589 individuals, new data from a Goldman Sachs study tells a very different and disturbing story; especially regarding a decrease in employer-sponsored coverage and a huge shift into Medicaid.

But are these (and so many other) lessons actually apt to inform future decisions? If given the opportunity, what will the free marketeers who seek to overturn or radically change PPACA do that will keep them from shooting themselves in the foot as often as a centipede with an automatic weapon? PPACA change is inevitable. If we have truly learned, the pain involved will be optional. 

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