Imagine being on a boat headed straight at a jetty. You're shouting to the captain and crew to change course but they're shouting at each other. Everyone can see the crash coming but no one appears able to stop it.
That's the situation with long-term care (LTC) policy in the U.S., albeit without the seaside scenery. Consider these observations, published in an August 2012 "Health Care Policy Snapshot Issue Brief" from the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation:
"Long-term care expenditures are projected to increase to $346 billion in 2040. Medicaid accounts for 43 percent of all long-term care spending while Medicare accounts for 18 percent. Meanwhile, federal and state governments are reducing overall spending and states are cutting back on their Medicaid programs. The one piece of the Affordable Care Act that addressed long-term care financing—the CLASS Act—has been abandoned due to inability to assure its financial viability."
According to Genworth's 2011 Cost of Care Survey, the median annual cost of long-term care in an assisted-living facility is $39,135, an increase of 2.4 percent from 2010. The comparable cost for a private nursing home room rose 3.4 percent to $77,745. Costs vary significantly by region: a semi-private nursing home stay in the State of New York costs almost $119,000 per year versus $49,000 in Oklahoma. At $18 per hour for homemaker services and $19 an hour for home-health-aide services, the median hourly cost to receive care in the home remained flat over the past 12 months.
"There is at the moment really no effort being made either by the Obama administration or in Congress to do anything about it."
~Howard Gleckman, Urban Institute
Proposed solutions