Report: U.S. May Never Get Back its Investment in AIG

January 27, 2012 at 03:41 AM
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A new report by a federal watchdog agency questions whether the U.S. government will be able to recover over the short term—if ever—the investment it has made in American International Group after it got into financial trouble in 2008.

The report was also highly critical of AIG's compensation policies, and the agency suggested that even after AIG exits the government aid programs, that its regulators should keep a close eye on its compensation policies.

AIG officials in New York declined comment.

It also warned that the compensation policies could lead to future problems.

The report said that, "Because companies generally have shown little or no appetite for reforming executive compensation practices, the economy remains at risk that compensation could play a material role in the event of a future crisis."

The report said that, "Although Treasury's complete plans for exiting investments [like AIG, GM and Ally] remain unclear, if Treasury's plan is to sell this stock at or above the break-even price, it may take a significant amount of time for markets to rebound to that level."

The report adds that, "Market conditions have slowed Treasury's progress. Treasury did not sell any of its shares in GM in 2011, or any of its shares in AIG in the latter half of 2011."

The report also demands that Treasury develop an end game for investments in companies like AIG in the light of the fact that "market conditions" make it unlikely that the government can recover its investments in these firms shortly.

"In light of market conditions, Treasury should develop a concrete exit plan for each of these investments," the report said.

The report also acknowledges that the government may never fully recover its investment in AIG.

It noted that last month, the Congressional Budget Office increased its estimated cost of the Troubled Asset Relief Program by $15 billion to $34 billion, due to a reduction in the market value of the investments in AIG and GM.

"Even though Treasury and CBO estimate a loss on these investments, we may not know for some time how much of a loss taxpayers will ultimately take," the CBO report said

The report said the watchdog agency was told by Treasury Department officials that it will need to sell its 1.455 billion shares in AIG at a price of $28.73 a share for taxpayers to break even on the investment.

AIG stock has been volatile with a high in 2011 of $61.18 per share on January 7, 2011, and a low of $20.07 on November 25, 2011, the report said.

The report by the Special Inspector General for the Troubled Asset Relief Program also strongly criticizes the executive compensation policies of AIG.

The report also questions whether the czar appointed to monitor and control the executive compensation policies of the 25 largest recipients of government financial aid, including AIG, acted in the public interest in approving the large salaries provided the executives of these companies.

Moreover, the Special Inspector General implied that AIG, among other large recipients of aid, were dismissive of his criticisms by saying that some, like AIG, are likely to be designated systemically significant going forward, and that regulators overseeing them should keep in mind the reckless behavior that caused them to need federal bailouts.

For example, the report said that, "Only AIG, GM, and Ally remain under the Office of the Special Master for TARP Compensation's oversight, and CEOs at AIG and GM told SIGTARP that they would not maintain OSM's practices once their company exits TARP."

The report said that AIG's proposed pay for its top 25 employees was excessive, and "did not reflect the unprecedented nature of AIG's taxpayer-funded bailout and the fact that taxpayers owned a majority of AIG."

In 2009, the report said, AIG wanted cash salary raises ranging from 84% to 550% for one group of employees, and 20% to 129% for another group.

"AIG proposed high cash salaries even though some of the employees would also be paid significant retention payments," the report said.

According to the report, Ken Feinberg, a New York then serving as special master and now overseeing payments to people affected by the Gulf Coast oil spill, "told SIGTARP that in his 2009 discussions with AIG, AIG believed that its common stock 'was essentially worthless'."

Feinberg told SIGTARP that he was reminded by Treasury officials that Treasury did not want AIG to go belly up, that stock salary would jeopardize AIG, and that the amounts at issue were relatively small compared to the Government's exposure in AIG, the report said. "However, Feinberg said that no one trumped his decisions," the report said.

Specifically, SIGTARP said in the report it found that OSM's pay determinations are not likely to have long lasting impact at the seven companies that received exceptional assistance, or at other companies.

It said that Citigroup and Bank of America, which exited TARP in part to escape compensation restrictions, have boosted salaries and bonuses since exiting TARP.

"OSM has had little ability to influence compensation practices at other companies outside of the seven," and said. Feinberg told SIGTARP that the long-term impact will likely come from regulators.

In general, SIGTARP was highly critical of the executive compensation policies at trouble troubles.

It said that, "There has been little fundamental change in the compensation structures at the largest institutions."

The report noted that, "The integrity of our financial system remains at risk, with many former TARP recipients now designated as systemically important financial institutions ("SIFIs") that continue with compensation structures that may encourage risk taking."

The report said that the "implicit guarantee that came from the Government's unprecedented intervention resulted in moral hazard, and companies continue to engage in risky behavior."

It said that "SIFIs have a responsibility to discipline risk taking that could potentially trigger systemic consequences, including as it relates to compensation."

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