Fundamentals Propel Rally in Life Stocks

January 23, 2012 at 07:47 AM
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Keefe, Bruyette & Woods view life insurer's reinvigorated attention to fundamentals and valuation as a positive sign for 4Q earnings and an antidote to low interest rates.

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW), a global, full-service investment bank that specializes in the financial services sector focusing on banking and insurance companies released the findings in their Life Insurance-4Q11 Earnings Preview.

In the face of a considerably disappointing 2011, life stocks are currently outperforming during a rally that began in late December of last year. Life stocks are rising an average of 11% vs. 6% for the S&P 500 according to KBW. Oddly enough, the market rally is taking place while there has been no change in interest rates or European credit spreads.

Although KBW recognizes that the surge in performance may be short-lived, they still recommend an overweight (the security is expected to outperform its industry, sector and the market all together) stance when it comes to the life sector.

According to KBW there are still some risks, among them, interest rates, equity market and credit risk, different risks associated with property and casualty exposures, competition within all business segments, mortality and other insurance risks, asset management performance, overall economic conditions, capital management strategies, unfavorable legislation and ratings downgrades.

Due to strong capital positions, Earnings Per Share growth and low valuations, KBW is advocating an overweight position when it comes to life insurance. Their preferences for higher and lower beta names are as follows:

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