Annuity Industry Crystal Ball: 5 Predictions for the Year Ahead

January 09, 2012 at 04:40 AM
Share & Print

With 2011 in the rear-view mirror, what can the annuity industry expect in 2012? It's pretty safe to assume that the economic roller coaster we experienced last year will continue, and that will no doubt pose challenges for financial professionals who sell annuities. However, the high level of economic uncertainty that flows into 2012 also provides ample opportunity to communicate the true value of annuities and their role in a well-rounded retirement portfolio. With that in mind, here are five predictions for what our industry can expect in the coming year.

1. Continued low interest rate environment. It's likely that the historically low interest rates of 2011 didn't inspire many people to invest in "safe" products that wereas of the end of Decemberyielding just over 1 percent or less. It's possible that some of that money earmarked for guaranteed financial products could have gone into other vehicles that could potentially provide higher returns. But that didn't necessarily happen, as the annuity industry experienced what will likely be a record year. So why did people stick with annuities?

It seems that people are finally starting to understand that saving for retirement isn't just about making moneyit's also about not losing the money you already have saved. If 2011 taught us anything, it's that we can't predict how the economy will perform and how factors like a soft economy will affect interest rates. Our industry has done a better job of communicating this fact of late, and will need to continue this work in 2012 as it appears interest rates won't get any better, at least in the short term. Despite this low interest rate environment, we believe annuity products remain an attractive option for consumers looking to protect a portion of their retirement savings.

2. Continued market volatility. This goes hand-in-hand with the low-interest rate environment and was something that simply couldn't be ignored in 2011. In today's media-driven society, market conditions are largely dictated by what people read in the news. Last year, there certainly weren't a lot of positive headlines. Between the debt crises in the United States and Europe, minimal job growth and fears of a double-dip recession, domestic and global economic news left the average investor confused at best. The danger with that scenario is that people often don't know what to believe. Without the guidance of a trusted financial professional, many may be content to let their money sit on the sidelines.

It's likely that the type of market volatility we experienced last year will continue in 2012. Again, this can actually be more of a positive than a negative for the annuity industry. Our clients will most certainly see troubling news headlines throughout 2012, but with a proper understanding about the benefits of annuities, they don't need to get caught up in the media hype. More education about our products in 2012 will support clients so they aren't chasing returns when the market is up or panicking when things are down.

3. November elections will spark more retirement conversations. Given the aforementioned economic news of 2011, people will make their voices heard in record numbers this year about a variety of issues, retirement included. What does this mean for the annuity industry? Only time will tell, but it's safe to assume that the retirement landscape will undergo some changes as a result, which may add to the uncertainty that many Americans may already be feeling.

As previously noted, this era of uncertainty can be an effective environment for financial professionals to champion the benefits of guarantees with retirement income. Whatever happens with the November presidential elections, retirement issues including the future of Social Security, defined benefit plans and taxes to name a few, will be a big part of the conversation. Financial professionals need to be prepared to understand the changing political and economic landscape and communicate how annuities can play an important role no matter the election's outcome.

4. New players in FIAs. Competition will increase among fixed index annuity (FIA) providers as there were several new entrants into the market near the end of 2011. These companies are realizing the downside protection and interest potential that FIAs provide and how valuable that can be in a tumultuous market. This is good news for financial professionals who offer annuities because more choice for the customer is always a positive. Competition also fosters innovation, so agents should anticipate new options to emerge in 2012 that reflect their clients' retirement concerns.

Perhaps the more compelling part of the expanded competition will be the distribution models that these new entrants choose to incorporate. Many of the new FIA providers come from a business model this is not linked to the Field Marketing Organization (FMO) distribution model of existing FIA providers. Thus, financial professionals may need to engage with new product providers in a completely new way and FMOs will need to align even closer with those companies who use their distribution platform. Flexibility will be key as these changes unfold.

5. Strong desire for safety and security. The final prediction for 2012 underscores the others, and is really at the center of where our industry should focus this year. As increasing numbers of baby boomers approach retirement, the need for guaranteed income becomes stronger than ever. Despite overtures from the federal government surrounding the wisdom of incorporating guaranteed income into defined contribution plans, real action on that front is likely a ways off. That means the bulk of the responsibility for retirement income rests with the individualand the individual, namely your client needs better guidance on how to achieve some level of safety and security in retirement.

The problem is, all of the factors mentioned abovefrom interest rates and to market volatility to political changehave given people pause. As a result, many Americans simply don't know what to do about their retirement savings. According to a recent survey from Allianz Life Insurance Company of North America, 80 percent of Americans said they were either less likely or unsure about seeking advice from a financial professional in 2012. This is a troubling statistic given the overall volatility in 2011 and speaks to the confusion about retirement planning that many Americans are currently experiencing.

That's why the basic benefit of an annuity is so powerful. The message is simple and hasn't changed. The ability for an annuity to provide an income stream that people can't outlive is paramount, and it is guaranteed by the financial strength and claims-paying ability of the insurer. This is especially true at a time when there are questions about what retirement will look like in 10 or 20 years. As such, it's important to understand that we as financial professionals need to continue to beat that drum and proactively communicate the benefits of our products no matter what happens with the economic roller coaster in 2012

Eric Thomes is senior vice president of sales, Allianz Life Insurance Company of North America in Minneapolis.

NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.

Related Stories

Resource Center