Single-Payer Health Plans: A Possible Solution?

February 09, 2011 at 07:00 PM
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As a number of states seek to find alternatives to PPACA, Vermont unveiled a plan on Tuesday that would effectively shut down the state's private insurance market in favor of one large, publicly funded pool. The bill draws inspiration from similar single-payer health plans in the United Kingdom, Canada, and Taiwan.

Gov. Peter Shumlin, who was elected last November, has said from the start that reforming Vermont's health care program was a top priority, citing increasing health care costs that, over the past few years, have grown at more than 12 times the growth of Vermont's economy. Under this new proposal, all Vermont residents would receive health care paid for by the state.

The single-payer precedent
According to Kaiser Health News, Shumlin's bill has roots in a number of other single-payer plans that have been broached over the years, including a proposal by former Vermont governor Howard Dean, who tried and failed to launch a statewide single-payer plan in 1994. The idea was also put forth during last year's Congressional debates over the Affordable Care Act, but was dismissed both as too controversial and potentially too cost-prohibitive.

In Vermont, for the moment, there is some amount of support for the bill – perhaps because Democrats overwhelmingly control both houses. In fact, prior to the bill's proposal, the legislature had retained several experts to help advise on elements of the plan, including Harvard economist William Hsiao, who helped build Taiwan's single-payer system.

Yet there is still much persuading to be done. Republicans across the state seek answers to some difficult questions, and small business owners in particular struggle to see how this bill will benefit them and how it will work in practice.

Lt. Gov. Phil Scott, a Republican, said that he had received letters from concerned residents even before Shumlin's bill was released.

"They've heard about the bill and they've heard the thoughts, but the devil's in the details, and they'd like to see what it means to them," he said in an interview with Kaiser Health News.

The question of cost
On both sides of the political fence, funding remains one of the primary question marks. Shumlin has addressed start-up costs to some degree: he plans to use the federal funding designated for the creation of health exchanges to build a structure that can later be adapted to support the single-payer system. However, sources for additional funding have not yet been identified, and Shumlin plans to return to the legislature in 2013 with a firmer financial plan.

From a savings perspective, the governor estimates that $500 million would be saved in the first year of the plan, due largely to fewer insurance marketing and administrative costs. This is an appealing number for a state whose health spending more than doubled between 1992 and 2009. And, it goes almost without saying that this appeal could extend to a number of other states with similar spending concerns, who may very well propose their own single-payer solutions after seeing the groundwork laid in Vermont.

So, what could this mean for agents? The exchange at the heart of a single-payer system may not differ substantially from the ones proposed by the PPACA, in that there will be new territory to navigate and, perhaps initially, new demands for advisory services. However, Shumlin's plan is unquestionably simpler than the federal one, and also, of course, will have much less involvement from individuals and employers. All of this suggests that, in Vermont and in other states with similar ambitions, the road ahead for agents could be rocky. But, as with most issues surrounding health care these days, it's still very speculative. Change is certainly ahead, but only time will tell exactly which direction it will take.

Nichole Morford is the managing editor of the Agent's Sales Journal. She can be reached at [email protected].

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