Egyptian Pound Hits Six-Year Low; Debt Insurance Costs Fall as Banks Reopen

February 07, 2011 at 05:24 AM
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Egypt was still the focus of financial as well as political turmoil on Monday as its banks reopened for business. Its stock exchange, however, remained closed, and unease showed in the sharp decrease of its pound, which hit a 6-year low as investors looked to dump their holdings of the troubled nation's currency.

Reuters reported that, despite the fall in the price of the pound, the costs of insuring Egypt's debt, as well as that of other Middle Eastern nations, fell once the banks reopened. Still murky, however, is the viability of Egypt's intent to sell more than 15 billion Egyptian pounds ($2.53 billion) of short-term debt later Monday. The auction, originally scheduled for last week, had to be canceled.

State banks were reportedly selling dollars to shore up the country's currency, although no action had yet been taken by the nation's central bank. It is also expected that local banks would largely be the takers on the debt auction, since the country's unrest is unnerving potential foreign investors.

Yields are expected to be high because of the need and the lack of demand. The central bank said it planned to auction 8 billion pounds in 91-day bills, 5 billion pounds in 182-day bills and 2 billion pounds in 273-day bills, with the settlement date on Tuesday. One trader, who said his bank had had no foreign offers at all on the debt, added that the size of the auction "is large because they need truckloads of money now."

Dina Ahmad, emerging markets strategist at BNP Paribas in London, said in the report, "We are currently expecting for 3 months around 11.20% and for 9 months around 12%. I do not think there will be much international interest—foreign investors will still be quite hesitant at this stage."

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