Financial physics

Commentary January 05, 2011 at 07:00 PM
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One of the best ways to understand the twists and turns that are part of every stock market cycle is by reading (and re-reading) Ed Easterling's "Unexpected Returns — Understanding Secular Stock Market Cycles" (Cypress House, 2005).

It's one of the books I turn to again and again, often saying aloud, "By George, he's right!" If you don't have a copy, at this writing, there are still 26 left at amazon.com.

Goat getters II

Sometimes I listen to podcasts of NPR's "Fresh Air"whilst shaving; at other times, "Marketplace Money"gets the nod. Last week, I heard an episode of "Fresh Air"that had a fellow on who educated me about recycled computers and monitors. The equipment is mostly shipped overseas to Africa and China, where children and the disadvantaged tear the remnants into pieces to salvage bits of gold, silver and other minerals.

The health risks of dismantling electronics into bits are apparently great, and if the fumes don't ruin the workers' lungs or kill them, some other part of the process probably will.

"Fresh Air," however, addressed the feel-good aspects of making sure that your (or my) computer is recycled properly, without considering the effects on the children or disadvantaged who presently have the job of mining minerals from TV and computer parts. I always think the children and disadvantaged should be given other new jobs or education when third-world manufacturing and other operations are closed, in order to make other, much luckier people feel better about themselves.

In other words, I wouldn't be able to have the same feel-good feelings unless I was sure that the poverty-stricken children and workers who do this work had new respectable jobs or educational programs before the operations were closed.

Do-gooders often seem to fail to understand that fixing things has to work backwards — the beginning must be new work or paid education and care for the workers; then, and only then, can you peel back the other layers and make things better. In my view, that's what makes for good feelings. The other way may simply displace workers and move them to even less desirable parts of an economy.

Have a great week and a wonderful New Year.

Check out more blog entries from Richard Hoe.

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