Trend Forecaster Celente Provides Portfolio Preferences for 2011

December 31, 2010 at 07:01 AM
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By law, trend forecaster Gerald Celente, publisher of Trends Journal, is prohibited from dispensing financial advice. But the analyst — boasting 30 years of accurate trend predictions — is indeed permitted to tout the growth-investing strategy for his own portfolio. In an interview, he told AdvisorOne just what that entails for 2011:

"I'm in gold primarily, silver next, and my cash is in Swiss francs and Canadian dollars. The Swiss are the money cockroaches of the world — they're not going anywhere. Canadian banks are much sounder [than American], and Canada has good natural resources," argues Celente.

An in-demand keynoter by firms such as Bank of America and American Express, Celente predicts that next year "the market will look good to investors because where else are you going to put your money? There used to be a time when people who didn't want risk would put it in savings. But if you do that now, you get nothing."

As for Celente's personal portfolio, "I'm betting the dollar down and buying gold. It's my retirement. In 20 years, gold will be worth a lot more than Chrysler and Merrill Lynch and all those legacy stocks. It's not as though you're investing in a company anymore. You're investing in private equity groups."

Otherwise, because of the "hardship-driven" violence he forecasts (see part one of this interview), Celente looks for continued booming business in the security industry, particularly for home alarms. He also sees opportunities in the alternative energy space, which he believes will "come of age" in 2011.

However, he warns financial advisors of a bubble in the popular emerging markets sector: "All bubbles deflate. There's no such thing as perpetual growth. Look what they just did in Brazil. They sent troops into the ghettos."

Celente invests in neither individual stocks nor bonds. "To me, it's a rigged game — high-frequency trading, insider trading. Every couple of weeks there's another insider trading scandal. Unless you're a member of the Harvard-Princeton-Yale club, you don't know what's going on because you're so far removed."

He stays away from mutual funds too: "Look what they did when the market collapsed in 2008 — they went down with it," he said.

Celente began investing in gold and oil futures back in 1978 and soon made enough to quit his day job. "I don't believe in paper money," he said. "Gold is for the golden years. I speculate in it, but I also buy for possession."
The trends analyst uses ETFs to trade gold and silver currencies. "They're very good, but who knows what the government will do to change the game? My retirement is in ETFs. This is about wealth preservation because things are going to get much worse."

A former activist for the chemical industry assigned to kill legislation, Celente's career as a trends expert took root when he realized: "Current events form future trends. I look at the facts only for what they are," he said, "not the way I want them to be."

See part one of the interview forecasting 2011 with Gerald Celente.

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