Life insurance and annuity products in 2010 will be much as they were in 2009 but with a hint of innovation. That's the collective prognosis from insurance professionals across the country.
The 2010 Climate
The trends of 2009 will continue, says Tom Buckingham, senior vice president-life and annuity product development, Phoenix Companies Inc., Hartford, Conn.
"People are much less willing to invest in equities, and it's not a temporary phenomenon." he explains. "Consumers are more fearful, like people who went through the Great Depression."
For that reason, he is looking for strong sales in fixed annuities (FAs) and fixed indexed annuities (FIAs), and more players in the FIA space, despite the uncertain status of the Securities and Exchange Commission's Rule 151A, which would make FIAs securities.
He also predicts increased sales of indexed universal life (IUL), especially at companies that previously wrote a lot of variable life (VL), a product line that lost a lot of steam in 2009′s market downturn. As for term and universal life with secondary guarantees (ULSG), he says the demand will be "as much as in 2009."
Buck Stinson, president-insurance products, Genworth Financial, Richmond, Va., expects the basics will keep their allure. For instance, he predicts basic risk management will take hold in Main Street America (earning $50,000-$250,000/year).
Last year's market downturn sent "a massive wakeup call" to consumers, he says, so they will be looking to protect basic needs with life insurance products.
Mike Fanning, executive vice president-U.S insurance group at MassMutual, Springfield, Mass., believes mortality protection and access to cash values will be important aspects of life insurance for consumers in 2010. For that reason, "we are bullish on whole life insurance," he says.
"It's back to basics" at the life company level, too, says Doug French, managing principal, insurance and actuarial advisory services, Ernst & Young, New York. "The year 2010 will be very much a continuation of 2009, which was all about putting out a fire, extinguishing it, and fixing problems around the fire."
Some carriers are analyzing what products are core and non-core, and some are exiting from the non-core to conserve capital and reallocate resources, he notes. In 2010, they will be reassessing and reevaluating, to preserve and rebuild financial capital, build strength, and increase efficiencies.
Some will work on further reducing risk by redesigning and repricing products, he continues. This includes "simplifying guarantees and benefits, especially eliminating guarantees and benefits that require excess capital on which they cannot get adequate return–a risk/reward proposition." This will happen with variable annuities (VAs), ULSGs, and long term care (LTC) insurance, he predicts.
Some life insurers have already pulled or repriced their return-of-premium (ROP) and ULSG products, observes Buckingham. Going forward, as they see opportunities, carriers will likely do some "minor tightening" in 2010, he adds.
The repricing is being spurred not just by recession. Life carriers are also now factoring in new regulations requiring them to hold "redundant reserves" for life policy guarantees, says Stinson. Since the current economy makes it difficult to fund this via the capital markets and reinsurance, carriers are raising rates, he says.
"It can't be a surprise that raising rates will have to happen, to meet the redundant reserve requirements," notes Dorothy Conway, president of The Conway Group, a St. Charles, Mo. brokerage general agency.
In 2010, she says, insurance agencies and BGAs will have to find a way to market whatever results from that.
Carriers are aware that they may get push-back from consumers and advisors as a result of repricing, says French. So, in 2010, in addition to making the product changes, they will be exploring "how to get marketplace acceptance" for those changes, he predicts. If advisors are not happy with the return for the customer, they "might look elsewhere," he cautions.
Other areas to watch in 2010 are federal regulation and taxation, adds Conway. "Those things will affect everyone."
Innovation
Wes Thompson, president of Sun Life Financial US, Wellesley, Mass., says he is "hopeful for innovation to come back to our industry."
The kind of innovation to anticipate will be that which resonates with the climate, say executives, pointing to the focus on basics, fixed products, guarantees, simplicity, repricing, financial stability, etc.
Genworth's Stinson puts it this way: Before the market crisis, many of the industry's life and annuity products had "rich benefits, low costs, and freedom to allocate." That led to many problems, prompting changes in design. For instance, his company is entering 2010 with VAs that are "relatively simple designs–simple for consumer to understand–that are de-risked and sustainable."
Sun Life is focusing on fundamental needs in its core space, says Thompson. For instance, the insurer will continue to refine its focus on the retirement market, he says.
The carrier is also focusing on understanding stakeholder needs; having products that meet the needs in a balanced way; and delivering products in a way that helps advisors position them effectively, he says. One example: Concerning delivery, he says his company has developed very strong wholesaling force–something it believes is critical to helping advisors in the independent distribution system in 2010.
The last 4 years saw the industry engaged "an arms race" in annuities (such as living benefits riders), as well as the commoditization of no-lapse guaranteed UL (from a pricing standpoint), he recalls. And in the last 10 years, the industry capitalized on mortality and morbidity underwriting. But, "we didn't do ourselves justice" from the standpoint of achieving balance between shareholder value, customer value and advisor value, Thompson maintains.