Life Re Market Stable, But Changing: Rating Agencies

September 30, 2007 at 04:00 PM
Share & Print

The life reinsurance market is stable and strong, although shrinking cession rates may impact business going forward and compel reinsurers to look for ways to boost revenue, according to all major rating agencies that put out reports in September.

While the sector is enjoying improved profits, lower cession rates as well as slow growth may "put the squeeze" on profits in the future, according to a report by Standard & Poor's Corp., New York, titled "Life Reinsurers May Feel The Squeeze As Cessions Shrink."

The report cites a study by the Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Ill., which says that the cession rate, the rate at which contracts are assumed by reinsurers, fell to 40% in 2006, a significant drop over the earlier part of the decade. In 2000, data provided by Swiss Re Life & Health America, Stamford, Conn., indicated that cession rates stood at 59%.

Pricing is one reason for the change, with reinsurers leaving behind "irrationally low" prices in order to meet "aggressive competition" that existed in the marketplace several years ago, according to S&P. But, according to the report, "reinsurers have now come back to their senses."

Other reasons for reduced capacity, according to the S&P report, include deployment of costs and capital to cover Triple-X reserves, industry consolidation and subsequent redeployment of capital to non-life reinsurance. The upside, according to the report, is "far better profit margins on newer business" offset by "business that is harder to come by."

Cedants, direct writers who reinsure contracts that they have sold, are responding by retaining more of the business that they write, using a captive reinsurer to accept excess reserve needs and collateralizing letters of credit, the report says.

The report also notes that the reduction of regulatory capital requirements in the United Kingdom may result in increased retention of mortality risk by direct writers.

Analysts with Moody's Investors Service, New York, also note the shift in the market.

Firmer pricing is increasing reinsurers' profitability and increasing retention rates, according to Laura Bazer, a Moody's vice president and senior credit officer, in describing changes that she notes in the market.

Scott Robinson, Moody's vice president and senior credit officer–life insurance, explains that in order to supplement growth, life reinsurers will focus on expanding their presence in more specialized products.

Among the products mentioned in Moody's 'Global Reinsurance Industry Outlook' are life insurance and annuities with secondary guarantees, equity-indexed annuities, and healthcare products.

Several years ago, reinsurers did make a foray into reinsuring products with guarantees, experienced losses and stopped reinsuring these risks for a time.

But, Robinson maintains that a "more robust analysis" of the risks in these products is making it possible to "craft treaties" and reinsure more of these features.

There are more defined limits on what is reinsured such as establishing maximum loss provisions, according to Bazer.

Bazer says that another area that will supplement revenues going forward is admin re business which allows companies to sell blocks of business that are no longer a business fit. Reinsurers are equipped to assume such business because of the data that they have access to ensure that they are correctly pricing such business, she says.

Long term care insurance is one product that reinsurers could conceivably focus on if they price it right and use the correct treaty design, according to Robinson.

Moody's Bazer also says that another part of the life reinsurance market where there is growth is an increase in the number of captives. The increase, she continues, is largely due to the need to reinsure level term and universal life products that come under the auspices of Triple-X and A-Triple-X regulatory requirements.

These types of products, according to the Moody's report reflect the move of reinsurers to use capital markets to manage exposures and balance sheets. Most of the capital market activity, according to the report, has been in the area of Triple-X non-recourse financing. Under such a transaction, according to the report, risk and reserves are transferred to a wholly owned captive reinsurer. The captive, the report continues, "uses a trust structure to fund itself in the capital markets and to collateralize the incremental reserve requirements of the sponsor. The capital markets debt is serviced by investment income on trust assets and does not have recourse to the sponsor."

In a recent report released by Fitch Ratings, the rating agency said that the global outlook for both life and non-life reinsurance is stable. For life reinsurers, the report continues, even with significant declines in cession rates in 2006, underlying demand persists because "primary insurance and annuity providers continue to use reinsurance to manage capital and mortality risk."

Life reinsurers, according to the agency, are more stable than non-life reinsurers because life reinsurers are concentrated among a small number of players which are largely small parts of larger organizations. Because life reinsurance contracts are long-term in nature, the life industry is also more stable, Fitch continues.

Fitch says that life reinsurers biggest near-term challenge is balancing their need to generate returns on capital with the current low interest rate environment.

NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.

Related Stories

Resource Center