AIG: Downgrade Could Trigger Billions In Collateral Demands

May 31, 2005 at 08:00 PM
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American International Group Inc. says problems with accounting and regulatory investigations are starting to affect its operations.[@@]

The problems forced AIG, New York, to put off filing its official Form 10-K annual report with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for weeks, and the company says regulatory scrutiny is doing more than slow the filing of SEC reports.

One challenge has been a decision by the major rating agencies to take away AIG's cherished AAA credit ratings.

As a result of cuts in AIG's long-term senior debt ratings, "AIG has been required to post approximately $1.16 billion of collateral with counterparties to municipal guaranteed investment contracts and financial derivatives transactions," the company says in its 10-K.

If Moody's Investors Service, New York, cut AIG's long-term senior debt ratings by 1 notch or Standard & Poor's Ratings Services, New York, cut the company's ratings by 2 notches, counterparties to derivatives transactions and municipal GIC transactions could ask AIG to supply $2.3 billion in additional collateral, AIG says.

"Further," AIG says, "additional downgrades could result in requirements for substantial additional collateral, which could have a material effect on how AIG manages its liquidity."

Moreover, although AIG has taken aggressive steps to deal with weaknesses in the company's internal control over financial reporting, "the process is not yet complete," AIG warns. "Delay in the implementation of remedial actions could affect the accuracy or timing of future filings with the SEC and other regulatory authorities."

AIG now has more than enough cash, but the company "does not expect to be able to access the public capital markets until all of its filings with the SEC are up to date, including any amendments to previously filed reports," AIG says.

Because of all the regulatory problems, securing SEC approval of updated registration statements could take several months, AIG says.

Moody's reacted to the release of the AIG 10-K by reaffirming its Aa2 rating on AIG's long-term senior debt.

AIG may have to continue to increase reserves, and it may have to make more management changes, but Moody's believes AIG will continue to be the leading world insurance business, the rating agency says.

As a result of the current restatement, AIG is reporting $9.7 billion in net income for 2004 on $98 billion in revenue, up from $8 billion in net income on $79 billion in 2003.

In Feb. 9, when AIG released unaudited 2004 results and its original, unrevised 2003 results, it said its net income had increased to $11 billion in 2004, up from $9.3 billion in net income in 2003.

The revision also cut shareholders' equity 2.7%, or $2.3 billion, and it led to noticeable changes in AIG's financial statements for 2000, 2001 and 2002.

Since 2000, 2001 has been the only year for which AIG has reported lower annual net income than it reported for the previous year.

In 2003, AIG said net income fell $1.2 billion between 2000 and 2001, but the company now says net income fell $1.9 billion, to $4.2 billion.

The revisions did not affect the operating earnings or revenue of AIG's life and retirement businesses. Those businesses are reporting $7.9 billion in operating income for 2004 on $43 billion in revenue, up from $6.4 billion in operating income on $36 billion in revenue for 2003.

But AIG says its making significant changes in the way it accounts for the performance of its life settlement operation, which puts money in programs that buy life insurance policies from policyholders.

Originally, AIG had accounted for its life settlement business as an insurance business, but now it says it has discovered it must comply with Financial Accounting Standards Board Technical Bulletin 85-4, a 1985 bulletin that advises companies to treat life insurance policy purchases as investments rather than as insurance transactions. Under FASB Technical Bulletin 85-4, the carrying value of the policy is equal to its cash surrender value.

Now, AIG says, it will record any payments for policies or any payments used to keep policies in force as losses or expenses immediately. The company will record income on life settlement deals only when insureds die and life insurers pay policy death benefits, AIG says.

The change in life settlement accounting cut $915 million from AIG's premium revenue figure for 2004 and $129 million from AIG's 2004 net income, AIG says.

FASB, Norwalk, Conn., is considering changes in life settlement accounting rules that could lead to more revisions in AIG's life settlement accounting, AIG says.

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