The time for rollovers has come, and will continue for the next 20 years or more. Talk to most advisors, and they'll tell you quite a bit of their business already comes from retiring baby boomers rolling qualified retirement plan assets into individual retirement accounts.
A recent report from Boston-based Cerulli & Associates shows just how huge the rollover business is. At year-end 2003, IRAs held more than $3 trillion in assets, with traditional IRAs accounting for most of that total, Cerulli says. That's more than the $2.4 trillion in assets that are now held in defined contribution plans.
Luis Fleites, the Cerulli analyst who authored the report, "Capturing and Retaining Rollovers: Positioning for Success," says that participants in IRAs who are age 50 and older "now hold 59% of 401(k) assets." So once these boomers retire, lots of money will flow out of 401(k)s. Job changers, too, he says, will be moving assets out of 401(k)s. Cumulative rollover contributions from retiring boomers and job changers, Fleites says, is projected to exceed $1.9 trillion between 2004 and 2010.
Annual rollover contributions in 2003, Fleites reports, hit $150 billion. "The surge in rollover inflows–$19 billion more than 2002 amounts–is partly attributable to rising equity markets," he says. "It also reflects the lingering effects of layoffs, early retirements, and job terminations during the bear market, as many of these employees are finalizing their rollover provisions."
Of the advisors Cerulli polled, nine out of 10 said that rollovers will become a larger component of their business going forward. Fifty-six percent of the advisors surveyed, Fleites reports, "believe that rollover assets will increase more than 16% during the next five years." Eleven percent of those polled, he says, "expect their client rollover assets to increase by more than 40%." But 28% of the advisors said they have no plans to implement a strategy to capture new rollover assets. Why? "Many advisors are confident that rollovers will continue to come their way without requiring a tactical or strategic change in their business plans," Fleites says.
Morris Armstrong, a planner with Armstrong Financial Strategies in New Milford, Connecticut, admits that he doesn't "actively solicit" rollovers. His retiring clients like his "planning and investment approach," giving him "the opportunity to manage their newly developed IRAs."
Advisors responding to Cerulli's survey said that approximately 20% of their books of business are rollover assets. Banks reported the highest percentage, 23%, Fleites says. But little deviation was found among the various channels. "The small disparity of client assets in IRA rollovers by channel is rather surprising because traditionally we expect to see significant client profile differences between wirehouse clients and insurance clients," Fleites says. Insurance advisors have the smallest average accounts. "Wirehouses and RIAs, both of which have clients with much larger account balances, must attract or capture larger rollover balances in order to maintain the same proportion of rollover assets that other channels report," Fleites points out.
Advisors who actively seek rollover assets tend to have smaller average account balances, Fleites found. These advisors are "more willing to look down market for new, younger prospects who will grow into bigger rollover clients." Existing clients generate the majority of rollover assets, Fleites notes, "further reinforcing the argument for increased data mining." Moreover, current customers account for approximately 54% of new rollover accounts, almost evenly split between existing clients with new rollover accounts and existing clients transferring accounts from other rollover providers.
While interviewing mutual fund companies, broker/dealers, and individual advisors for the survey, Fleites noticed a surprising trend: there are a limited number of options in terms of retirement income products available to clients. Retiring baby boomers have historically been offered an immediate annuity or income ladder, he says. "In many cases, [those products] still work, but retirees have lots of needs" like long-term care and wealth transfer, so they need more options. "Retirement income is becoming a service that requires products, and there hasn't been that much development or focus on it because [baby boomers have been accumulating assets] for the last 20 to 30 years," he says.
Responding to an informal poll of advisors performed by Investment Advisor, Greg Plechner, a planner with Fee Only Wealth Management in Old Tappan, New Jersey, says there are three reasons why his rollover business has been booming over the last few years. While the Bush Administration has instituted two major tax law changes–the Economic Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation Act (EGTRRA) and the Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act (JGTRRA)–rollover rules for non-spouse beneficiaries haven't changed, Plechner says. The "stretch" IRA has become a haven for unmarried employees or those doing estate planning, Plechner says. Employer-sponsored retirement plans "almost always limit the options available to a beneficiary by forcing distributions to the beneficiary in a period of time shorter than is required under the regulations (i.e., the single life expectancy of the beneficiary)," he explains. A stretch IRA, on the other hand, "does not force this distribution and thus guarantees the beneficiary the ability to delay taxation as long as possible while providing full access to the balance as needed."
