Reinsurers Need To Move Faster To Keep Apace Of Risk

March 31, 2002 at 07:00 PM
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Reinsurers Need To Move Faster To Keep Apace Of Risk

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If risk is a moving target, the target is moving faster and reinsurers need to be ready with more precise underwriting and pricing, according to speakers at a recent seminar sponsored by Swiss Re, New York.

Sept. 11 has changed the focus in the business, according to Mark Lescault, chief underwriting officer with the Swiss Re Americas division. "Terrorism is a work in progress. We must maintain a focus on it as it evolves," he said.

The life reinsurance business, while impacted by the World Trade Center event, does stand to benefit from improving mortality trends, according to Jacques Dubois, chairman and CEO of Swiss Re's Life & Health America Holding Corp. Better medical research has paid off with an increase in life expectancy that now stands at 76.5 years on average, he said.

Cession rates, the numbers of life insurance contracts ceded to reinsurers, are also increasing, says Dubois. The cession rate increased to 64% in 2000 up from 15% in 1993, he added. In 2001, the cession rate will probably be around 70%, he continued, and ultimately, could reach a maturation point of 80%.

In 2001, between $4.5 trillion and $5 trillion in insurance was ceded to reinsurers compared with approximately $4 trillion in 2000 and $1.1 trillion in 1993, according to Dubois.

While there are a number of bright spots in the life reinsurance market, the reinsurance industry as a whole needs to address some immediate issues.

With industry estimates of roughly $50 billion in losses, Lescault says terrorism was neither underwritten or priced for, and consequently, the industry did not price for that risk.

Underwriting going forward is evolving, he added. It is moving from excluding coverage to reaching an exposure assessment such as whether and how to reinsure a structure such as the Sears Tower, for instance, compared with a suburban shoe store business, he said.

Citing sources including Morgan Stanley and IBNR weekly, Lescault added that for the entire reinsurance industry there is an estimated loss of $103 billion in capital with new capacity of just $31 billion planned for 2002. Of that total, he said $20 billion would be accessed through the Bermuda market and it was estimated that about $10 billion would be raised industrywide.

The $103 billion loss includes $50 billion from the World Trade Center catastrophe and $53 billion from a drop in stock and bond values.

Lescault also noted that going forward, markets will not generate the investment income that they have in the last decade and consequently, underwriting results need to be stronger.


Reproduced from National Underwriter Life & Health/Financial Services Edition, April 1, 2002. Copyright 2002 by The National Underwriter Company in the serial publication. All rights reserved.Copyright in this article as an independent work may be held by the author.


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